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Coverage & Methodology

What Knighted Markets covers.

Knighted Markets tracks the rules, deadlines, and market balance across environmental and energy commodity markets. This page sets out exactly what is covered, where the data comes from, and how it is kept current, so you can judge the source before you rely on the number.

Regulatory tracking

The regulatory change feed, calendar, and document library span five commodity markets. For every tracked program, Knighted Markets follows what changed, when it takes effect, and what it means, linked back to the primary source.

MarketWhat is trackedExample primary sources
EnvironmentalREC and RPS programs, compliance and voluntary carbon, low-carbon fuel standards, RNGCARB, ECCC, state PUCs, EU and UK ETS registries
PowerRTO and ISO tariffs, interconnection, capacity and market rulesFERC, CAISO, MISO tariffs and manuals
Natural gasPipeline, storage, and methane rules and noticesFERC, EPA, eCFR, Federal Register
Crude oilRefining, transport, and emissions rulesEPA, eCFR, regulations.gov
CoalMining, retirement, and emissions rulesEPA, state agencies

Regulatory tracking is broad across all five markets. The supply-demand models below are focused on the environmental markets, where Knighted Markets rebuilds the balance from the published record.

Supply-demand models

The environmental markets are modeled as supply versus demand, not just described. Each model is built from primary-source program data and refreshed as the record changes.

ModelCoverageHorizon
RPS supply & demand43 North American jurisdictions: REC obligation vs. eligible supply, cross-border eligibilityto 2045
Compliance carbonEU ETS, UK ETS, California-Quebec, RGGI, Washington, Australia, New Zealand2019 to present
Voluntary carbonIssuance vs. retirements, prices by category, removals premium, host and buyer geography2020 to present
RNG / LCFSCalifornia LCFS, Oregon CFP, Washington CFS: carbon-intensity and credit economicscurrent program years

Registries and standards bodies

Voluntary carbon coverage is wired to the registries where credits are issued and retired, and to the integrity frameworks that govern quality.

TypeBodies covered
Carbon registriesVerra (VCS), Gold Standard, American Carbon Registry, Climate Action Reserve, Puro.earth
Integrity frameworksICVCM Core Carbon Principles, VCMI, CORSIA, Paris Agreement Article 6
REC registriesRegional and state tracking systems in the United States; in Canada, ECCC's CATS

Primary sources

Every tracked program traces to an official source. The watcher pulls from regulators and registries directly rather than from secondary aggregators.

DomainSources
US federaleCFR, the Federal Register, regulations.gov, EPA
CaliforniaCalifornia Air Resources Board (CARB)
WashingtonWAC 173-424 (Clean Fuel Standard)
CanadaEnvironment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), BC Laws, Quebec cap-and-trade
PowerFERC, and RTO/ISO tariffs and manuals (CAISO, MISO)
RPS referencesNCSL and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory for program targets and interim compliance

How the data is maintained

Three principles govern the data:

Primary-source. Figures trace to the statute, regulation, registry, or exchange that published them, not to a third-party summary.

Sourced and dated. Program rules, targets, and marks carry their source so you can verify them, and the change feed timestamps every detected update.

Updated as the record changes. The watcher crawls tracked regulators and sources continuously; the change feed and calendar update as new rules and deadlines appear; the supply-demand models are refreshed on a defined cadence as program data is published.

Verified versus indicative. Where a figure is an exchange-anchored or primary-source verified value, it is treated as such. Where a smaller-market mark or vintage series is a market estimate rather than a verified print, it is labeled indicative, so you always know which is which.

Update cadence

SurfaceCadence
Regulatory change feedContinuous (daily source crawls)
Compliance calendarContinuous, as deadlines and notices are detected
Supply-demand modelsRefreshed as program data and market records are published

Have a market, jurisdiction, or source you need covered? Get in touch, or see pricing for plan coverage.