Coverage & Methodology
Knighted Markets tracks the rules, deadlines, and market balance across environmental and energy commodity markets. This page sets out exactly what is covered, where the data comes from, and how it is kept current, so you can judge the source before you rely on the number.
The regulatory change feed, calendar, and document library span five commodity markets. For every tracked program, Knighted Markets follows what changed, when it takes effect, and what it means, linked back to the primary source.
| Market | What is tracked | Example primary sources |
|---|---|---|
| Environmental | REC and RPS programs, compliance and voluntary carbon, low-carbon fuel standards, RNG | CARB, ECCC, state PUCs, EU and UK ETS registries |
| Power | RTO and ISO tariffs, interconnection, capacity and market rules | FERC, CAISO, MISO tariffs and manuals |
| Natural gas | Pipeline, storage, and methane rules and notices | FERC, EPA, eCFR, Federal Register |
| Crude oil | Refining, transport, and emissions rules | EPA, eCFR, regulations.gov |
| Coal | Mining, retirement, and emissions rules | EPA, state agencies |
Regulatory tracking is broad across all five markets. The supply-demand models below are focused on the environmental markets, where Knighted Markets rebuilds the balance from the published record.
The environmental markets are modeled as supply versus demand, not just described. Each model is built from primary-source program data and refreshed as the record changes.
| Model | Coverage | Horizon |
|---|---|---|
| RPS supply & demand | 43 North American jurisdictions: REC obligation vs. eligible supply, cross-border eligibility | to 2045 |
| Compliance carbon | EU ETS, UK ETS, California-Quebec, RGGI, Washington, Australia, New Zealand | 2019 to present |
| Voluntary carbon | Issuance vs. retirements, prices by category, removals premium, host and buyer geography | 2020 to present |
| RNG / LCFS | California LCFS, Oregon CFP, Washington CFS: carbon-intensity and credit economics | current program years |
Voluntary carbon coverage is wired to the registries where credits are issued and retired, and to the integrity frameworks that govern quality.
| Type | Bodies covered |
|---|---|
| Carbon registries | Verra (VCS), Gold Standard, American Carbon Registry, Climate Action Reserve, Puro.earth |
| Integrity frameworks | ICVCM Core Carbon Principles, VCMI, CORSIA, Paris Agreement Article 6 |
| REC registries | Regional and state tracking systems in the United States; in Canada, ECCC's CATS |
Every tracked program traces to an official source. The watcher pulls from regulators and registries directly rather than from secondary aggregators.
| Domain | Sources |
|---|---|
| US federal | eCFR, the Federal Register, regulations.gov, EPA |
| California | California Air Resources Board (CARB) |
| Washington | WAC 173-424 (Clean Fuel Standard) |
| Canada | Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), BC Laws, Quebec cap-and-trade |
| Power | FERC, and RTO/ISO tariffs and manuals (CAISO, MISO) |
| RPS references | NCSL and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory for program targets and interim compliance |
Three principles govern the data:
Primary-source. Figures trace to the statute, regulation, registry, or exchange that published them, not to a third-party summary.
Sourced and dated. Program rules, targets, and marks carry their source so you can verify them, and the change feed timestamps every detected update.
Updated as the record changes. The watcher crawls tracked regulators and sources continuously; the change feed and calendar update as new rules and deadlines appear; the supply-demand models are refreshed on a defined cadence as program data is published.
Verified versus indicative. Where a figure is an exchange-anchored or primary-source verified value, it is treated as such. Where a smaller-market mark or vintage series is a market estimate rather than a verified print, it is labeled indicative, so you always know which is which.
| Surface | Cadence |
|---|---|
| Regulatory change feed | Continuous (daily source crawls) |
| Compliance calendar | Continuous, as deadlines and notices are detected |
| Supply-demand models | Refreshed as program data and market records are published |
Have a market, jurisdiction, or source you need covered? Get in touch, or see pricing for plan coverage.